Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Genclerbirligi
33.7%
Draw
23.7%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Genclerbirligi
vs
0.98
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.0%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).