Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Sporting Gijón
30.0%
Draw
33.7%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.01
Eibar
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).