Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
FC Koln
30.6%
Draw
31.8%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
FC Koln
vs
1.11
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).