Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Tenerife
33.1%
Draw
46.2%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Tenerife
vs
1.05
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.580.8%
Over 1.548.8%
Over 2.522.8%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.4%
0-0
19.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-3
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).