Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Logrones
29.6%
Draw
19.7%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Logrones
vs
0.66
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).