Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Southampton
29.6%
Draw
56.9%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Southampton
vs
1.47
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
14.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).