Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Viking
15.4%
Draw
9.2%
Fredrikstad
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Viking
vs
0.74
Fredrikstad
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
5-0
3.1%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).