Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Zaragoza
33.3%
Draw
39.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Zaragoza
vs
0.97
Burgos
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.8%
0-1
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).