Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Braintree Town
20.3%
Draw
60.0%
Harborough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Braintree Town
vs
2.06
Harborough Town
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).