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27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.0%
Sheffield Weds
29.2%
Draw
49.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Sheffield Weds

vs
1.42

West Brom

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).