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HHT: 10CSV

05 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.4%
Sochaux
24.9%
Draw
45.7%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Sochaux

vs
1.39

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).