Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Como
29.0%
Draw
29.6%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Como
vs
0.95
Roma
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).