Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Cagliari
19.6%
Draw
7.3%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Cagliari
vs
0.53
Avellino
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
11.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).