Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Oxford
31.9%
Draw
42.6%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Oxford
vs
1.20
Millwall
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
14.1%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).