Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Toulouse
22.6%
Draw
16.5%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Toulouse
vs
0.77
Nantes
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).