Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Maritimo
23.9%
Draw
28.8%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Maritimo
vs
1.17
Vizela
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).