Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Birmingham
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Birmingham
vs
1.32
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).