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04 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.7%
Rangers
11.2%
Draw
5.1%
Kilmarnock

Expected Goals (xG)

3.09

Rangers

vs
0.70

Kilmarnock

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
5.2%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).