Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Maidenhead
25.8%
Draw
29.0%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Maidenhead
vs
1.30
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).