Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Vitória Guimarães
26.8%
Draw
24.7%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Vitória Guimarães
vs
1.05
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).