Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Port Vale
23.5%
Draw
25.4%
Basford United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Port Vale
vs
1.10
Basford United
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).