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AHT: 04

27 Jul 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
Häcken
23.1%
Draw
56.8%
Djurgården

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Häcken

vs
2.06

Djurgården

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).