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11 May 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
IFK Göteborg
31.0%
Draw
42.6%
Hammarby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

IFK Göteborg

vs
1.29

Hammarby

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).