Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Cremonese
31.3%
Draw
29.1%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Cremonese
vs
0.84
Spezia
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.0%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).