Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Tenerife
31.8%
Draw
43.0%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Tenerife
vs
1.07
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).