Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Newcastle
26.6%
Draw
31.0%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Newcastle
vs
1.42
Brentford
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).