Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Lorient
26.8%
Draw
21.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Lorient
vs
0.75
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).