Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Sevilla
26.1%
Draw
27.7%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sevilla
vs
1.14
Valencia
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).