Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Parma
26.1%
Draw
57.3%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Parma
vs
1.47
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-2
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).