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24 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Forest Green
24.4%
Draw
36.5%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Forest Green

vs
1.35

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).