Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Numancia
26.1%
Draw
23.9%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Numancia
vs
0.93
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).