Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.3%
Barcelona
9.3%
Draw
4.3%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Barcelona
vs
0.69
Leganes
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.557.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.0%
2-0
9.9%
4-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-0
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).