Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Eldense
26.4%
Draw
32.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Eldense
vs
1.19
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).