Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Burnley
18.7%
Draw
4.6%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Burnley
vs
0.31
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS23.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.8%
2-0
19.8%
3-0
12.9%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-1
4.0%
0-1
2.8%
5-0
2.4%
4-1
2.0%
1-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).