Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Leverkusen
21.5%
Draw
16.1%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Leverkusen
vs
0.98
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).