Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Nott'm Forest
29.2%
Draw
41.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.46
Brentford
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).