Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Reggiana
31.9%
Draw
25.4%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Reggiana
vs
0.88
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).