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30 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Livingston
25.7%
Draw
38.6%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Livingston

vs
1.51

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).