Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Colchester
30.5%
Draw
33.9%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Colchester
vs
0.94
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-1
14.5%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).