Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Bournemouth
19.9%
Draw
9.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Bournemouth
vs
0.66
Reading
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).