Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Metz
18.6%
Draw
63.4%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Metz
vs
2.21
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).