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AHT: 02

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.7%
Bury
16.7%
Draw
17.6%
Tipton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.65

Bury

vs
1.34

Tipton Town

Markets

BTTS68.3%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.8%
4-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).