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AHT: 01CSV

01 Dec 2018

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.5%
Braintree Town
36.2%
Draw
40.3%
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Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Braintree Town

vs
0.98

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Markets

BTTS31.7%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.550.3%
Over 2.523.1%
Over 3.58.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.2%
0-1
17.6%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
0-3
3.0%
2-2
2.1%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).