Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Bristol City
29.9%
Draw
25.8%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Bristol City
vs
0.96
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).