Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Newport County
23.6%
Draw
52.6%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Newport County
vs
1.63
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).