Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Maritimo
25.7%
Draw
48.6%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Maritimo
vs
1.43
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).