Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Elche
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Elche
vs
1.23
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).