Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Hull
26.5%
Draw
16.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Hull
vs
0.74
Wigan
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).