Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Bristol City
29.8%
Draw
32.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Bristol City
vs
1.14
Swansea
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).