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20 Feb 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.8%
Como
20.0%
Draw
9.2%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Como

vs
0.65

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).